Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? Odds jumped to 99% on Aug 12, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? On , the market’s odds jumped from 63.2¢ to 98.8¢ (+35.6 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ). The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match63.2¢
+5m99¢
+30m98.8¢
+1h98.8¢
+24h99.7¢
1h move+35.6 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

YesDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
Decision Desk HQ projects David Crowley wins the WI Governor Democratic Primary • • #DecisionMade: 2:20 AM EDT

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 99%, as of .

YES99¢
NO1¢

Vol$19K

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Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.