Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%? Odds fell to 34% on Aug 26, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: No
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%? On , the market’s odds fell from 70¢ to 34¢ (-36 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 3-source news cluster, from News. The market has since resolved No.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Aug 26, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 70¢ → 30¢-40 ptsafter a signal from News
- 70¢ → 30¢-40 ptsafter a signal from Sen. Darline Graham (R-S.C.) is projected to win the South Carolina Republican primary runoff to replace her brother, the late Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), on the November ballot, according to Decision Desk HQ. Lindsey Graham, 71, died unexpectedly in early July after serving in the Senate for more than two decades — and after winning…
- 74.5¢ → 29.5¢-45 ptsafter a signal from Bloomberg Reporter
- 63¢ → 25¢-38 ptsafter a signal from zerohedge
- 64¢ → 18¢-46 ptsafter a signal from cnn.com
- 70¢ → 13¢-57 ptsafter a signal from CNN Reporter
- 65.5¢ → 2.5¢-63 ptsafter a signal from foxnews
- 29.5¢ → 3.1¢-26.4 ptsafter a signal from MS NOW Reporter
- 23¢ → 5.2¢-17.8 ptsafter a signal from truthsocial.com
- 21¢ → 5.2¢-15.8 ptsafter a signal from MS NOW Reporter
- 29.5¢ → 5.4¢-24.1 ptsafter a signal from foxnews
What moved the odds?
Part of a 3-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
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Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: Runoff Margin of Victory — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.