South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: Runoff Margin of Victory

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Graham beat Rep. Ralph Norman by about 5 points, while Mazzei barely edged state AG Gentner Drummond. We took a look at how each race played out. • • Read our review: •
Graham beat Rep. Ralph Norman by about 5 points, while Mazzei barely edged state AG Gentner Drummond. We took a look at how each race played out. • • Read our review: •
After a close race: Senator Darlene Graham Nordon, the sister of the late Senator Lindsey Graham and appointed to replace him, won the Republican primary in the state of South Carolina 52%-48%. She currently serves as a senator and the election for the seat will be held in November
After a close race: Senator Darlene Graham Nordon, the sister of the late Senator Lindsey Graham and appointed to replace him, won the Republican primary in the state of South Carolina 52%-48%. She currently serves as a senator and the election for the seat will be held in November
After a close race: Senator Darlene Graham Nordon, the sister of the late Senator Lindsey Graham and appointed to replace him, won the Republican primary in the state of South Carolina 52%-48%. She currently serves as a senator and the election for the seat will be held in November
After a close race: Senator Darlene Graham Nordon, the sister of the late Senator Lindsey Graham and appointed to replace him, won the Republican primary in the state of South Carolina 52%-48%. She currently serves as a senator and the election for the seat will be held in November
After a close race: Senator Darlene Graham Nordon, the sister of the late Senator Lindsey Graham and appointed to replace him, won the Republican primary in the state of South Carolina 52%-48%. She currently serves as a senator and the election for the seat will be held in November
After a close race: Senator Darlene Graham Nordon, the sister of the late Senator Lindsey Graham and appointed to replace him, won the Republican primary in the state of South Carolina 52%-48%. She currently serves as a senator and the election for the seat will be held in November
News: Sen. Darline Graham has won the GOP nomination for Senate, filling the spot of her brother, the late-Sen. Lindsey Graham, on the ballot. • • She defeated Rep. Ralph Norman. She’ll now take on Democrat Annie Andrews in November. • • @MSNOWNews •
Norman <5%nytimes.com93%match100¢
Live: “I hate it for the state,” Ralph Norman said of the results in South Carolina. “I really hate it for the state.” He noted $8 million was spent around him. “The president got involved — he has that right. He has that prerogative,” he said to boos. He praised President Trump’s policies but said he did not understand why the president took sides in the race.
Live: “I hate it for the state,” Ralph Norman said of the results in South Carolina. “I really hate it for the state.” He noted $8 million was spent around him. “The president got involved — he has that right. He has that prerogative,” he said to boos. He praised President Trump’s policies but said he did not understand why the president took sides in the race.
Live: “I hate it for the state,” Ralph Norman said of the results in South Carolina. “I really hate it for the state.” He noted $8 million was spent around him. “The president got involved — he has that right. He has that prerogative,” he said to boos. He praised President Trump’s policies but said he did not understand why the president took sides in the race.
Live: “I hate it for the state,” Ralph Norman said of the results in South Carolina. “I really hate it for the state.” He noted $8 million was spent around him. “The president got involved — he has that right. He has that prerogative,” he said to boos. He praised President Trump’s policies but said he did not understand why the president took sides in the race.
Norman 20%+nytimes.com93%match100¢
Live: “I hate it for the state,” Ralph Norman said of the results in South Carolina. “I really hate it for the state.” He noted $8 million was spent around him. “The president got involved — he has that right. He has that prerogative,” he said to boos. He praised President Trump’s policies but said he did not understand why the president took sides in the race.
Darline Graham ekes out a win in South Carolina, according to the AP. • • Despite Trump's endorsement, Graham leads by less than 17,000 votes out of more than 343,000 total cast (with 92% in).
Darline Graham ekes out a win in South Carolina, according to the AP. • • Despite Trump's endorsement, Graham leads by less than 17,000 votes out of more than 343,000 total cast (with 92% in).
Norman <5%CNN Reporter94%match100¢
A victory lap from the Invest in Tomorrow Coalition, the clean energy-focused super PAC that spent $1 million to defeat Ralph Norman in the #SCSEN special primary runoff:
A victory lap from the Invest in Tomorrow Coalition, the clean energy-focused super PAC that spent $1 million to defeat Ralph Norman in the #SCSEN special primary runoff:
A victory lap from the Invest in Tomorrow Coalition, the clean energy-focused super PAC that spent $1 million to defeat Ralph Norman in the #SCSEN special primary runoff:
A victory lap from the Invest in Tomorrow Coalition, the clean energy-focused super PAC that spent $1 million to defeat Ralph Norman in the #SCSEN special primary runoff:
Norman 20%+CNN Reporter95%match100¢
A victory lap from the Invest in Tomorrow Coalition, the clean energy-focused super PAC that spent $1 million to defeat Ralph Norman in the #SCSEN special primary runoff:
Darline Graham will defeat Ralph Norman in the #SCSEN Republican special primary runoff, CNN projects

What is this event about?

The special primary runoff election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the runoff of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

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