Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 8–12%? Odds fell to 0% on Aug 5, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 8–12%? On , the market’s odds fell from 25.9¢ to 0.1¢ (-25.8 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Axios Reporter. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match25.9¢
+5m25.9¢
+30m25.6¢
+1h0.1¢
+24h4.7¢
1h move-25.8 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 5, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 25.9¢ → 0.1¢-25.8 ptsafter a signal from Axios Reporter
  • 25.6¢ → 0.1¢-25.5 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 25.6¢ → 0.1¢-25.5 ptsafter a signal from nytimes.com

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

NoAxios Reporter97%match
First votes in #MO01 put Rep. Wesley Bell far in the lead over former Rep. Cori Bush, but they are all from St. Louis County, his stronghold. • • St. Louis City is expected to be far more favorable for Bush.
NoAxios Reporter97%match
First votes in #MO01 put Rep. Wesley Bell way in the lead over former Rep. Cori Bush, but they are all from St. Louis County, his stronghold. • • St. Louis City is expected to be far more favorable for Bush.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$1K

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Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 8–12%? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for MO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.