MO-01 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
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NEW: The left is notching big victories in Democratic races. But in St. Louis, center-left Wesley Bell just flipped the script and crushed his lefty rival. • • I asked him about defying the trend. • • And we spoke to voters to understand why. • • w/ @brennanleach:
NEW: The left is notching big victories in Democratic races. But in St. Louis, center-left Wesley Bell just flipped the script and crushed his lefty rival. • • I asked him about defying the trend. • • And we spoke to voters to understand why. • • w/ @brennanleach:
NEW: The left is notching big victories in Democratic races. But in St. Louis, center-left Wesley Bell just flipped the script and crushed his lefty rival. • • I asked him about defying the trend. • • And we spoke to voters to understand why. • • w/ @brennanleach:
NEW: The left is notching big victories in Democratic races. But in St. Louis, center-left Wesley Bell just flipped the script and crushed his lefty rival. • • I asked him about defying the trend. • • And we spoke to voters to understand why. • • w/ @brennanleach:
AIPAC-backed Wesley Bell defeats Israel critic Cori Bush in Missouri primary rematch
AIPAC-backed Wesley Bell defeats Israel critic Cori Bush in Missouri primary rematch
NEW: Cori Bush loses again on election night. • • The former Squad member was once again defeated in a rematch against Wesley Bell during Missouri's Democratic primary. • • Bell first dethroned Bush when she was running for re-election in 2024 and has now put an end to her bid to return to Congress. • • Bush campaigned on abolishing ICE and ending all U.S. funding for Israel. Bell ran on continuing support for Israel. • • The result marks another setback for the Democratic Party's progressive wing in a race that drew national attention.
NEW: Cori Bush loses again on election night. • • The former Squad member was once again defeated in a rematch against Wesley Bell during Missouri's Democratic primary. • • Bell first dethroned Bush when she was running for re-election in 2024 and has now put an end to her bid to return to Congress. • • Bush campaigned on abolishing ICE and ending all U.S. funding for Israel. Bell ran on continuing support for Israel. • • The result marks another setback for the Democratic Party's progressive wing in a race that drew national attention.
NEW: Cori Bush loses again on election night. • • The former Squad member was once again defeated in a rematch against Wesley Bell during Missouri's Democratic primary. • • Bell first dethroned Bush when she was running for re-election in 2024 and has now put an end to her bid to return to Congress. • • Bush campaigned on abolishing ICE and ending all U.S. funding for Israel. Bell ran on continuing support for Israel. • • The result marks another setback for the Democratic Party's progressive wing in a race that drew national attention.
NEW: Cori Bush loses again on election night. • • The former Squad member was once again defeated in a rematch against Wesley Bell during Missouri's Democratic primary. • • Bell first dethroned Bush when she was running for re-election in 2024 and has now put an end to her bid to return to Congress. • • Bush campaigned on abolishing ICE and ending all U.S. funding for Israel. Bell ran on continuing support for Israel. • • The result marks another setback for the Democratic Party's progressive wing in a race that drew national attention.
NEW: Cori Bush loses again on election night. • • The former Squad member was once again defeated in a rematch against Wesley Bell during Missouri's Democratic primary. • • Bell first dethroned Bush when she was running for re-election in 2024 and has now put an end to her bid to return to Congress. • • Bush campaigned on abolishing ICE and ending all U.S. funding for Israel. Bell ran on continuing support for Israel. • • The result marks another setback for the Democratic Party's progressive wing in a race that drew national attention.
Back in MO, Wesley Bell's decisive win over Cori Bush actually came with *higher* turnout than 2024. • • She's running 4000 votes behind her 2024 number. Bell added 20,000 votes.
Back in MO, Wesley Bell's decisive win over Cori Bush actually came with *higher* turnout than 2024. • • She's running 4000 votes behind her 2024 number. Bell added 20,000 votes.
Back in MO, Wesley Bell's decisive win over Cori Bush actually came with *higher* turnout than 2024. • • She's running 4000 votes behind her 2024 number. Bell added 20,000 votes.
Back in MO, Wesley Bell's decisive win over Cori Bush actually came with *higher* turnout than 2024. • • She's running 4000 votes behind her 2024 number. Bell added 20,000 votes.
Back in MO, Wesley Bell's decisive win over Cori Bush actually came with *higher* turnout than 2024. • • She's running 4000 votes behind her 2024 number. Bell added 20,000 votes.
Missouri Democratic primaries: Pro-Israel Congressman Wesley Bell defeated pro-Palestinian, anti-Israel candidate Cory Bush in the Missouri Democratic primary - in a duel that recreated the primaries between them in 2024 (when Bell won). The AIPAC lobby poured $2-3 million into Bell's favor. In the meantime, we continue to wait for the results of the Michigan Democratic primary for the Democratic candidate for the Senate seat
Missouri Democratic primaries: Pro-Israel Congressman Wesley Bell defeated pro-Palestinian, anti-Israel candidate Cory Bush in the Missouri Democratic primary - in a duel that recreated the primaries between them in 2024 (when Bell won). The AIPAC lobby poured $2-3 million into Bell's favor. In the meantime, we continue to wait for the results of the Michigan Democratic primary for the Democratic candidate for the Senate seat
Rematch watch: Rep. Wesley Bell, a pragmatic liberal, prevails over former far-left Rep. Cori Bush in a *landslide*
Rematch watch: Rep. Wesley Bell, a pragmatic liberal, prevails over former far-left Rep. Cori Bush in a *landslide*
BREAKING: AP projects that incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell (D-MO) has defeated socialist challenger & former Squad member Cori Bush to defend his seat. • • Bush ran on abolishing ICE, ending all funding to Israel, & is a DSA member. • • Bell ran on continuing support for Israel. • • Loss for socialists in middle America.
AP calls it for Bell in #MO01 - no Cori Bush comeback. Progressive money never really showed up for her, despite how close their 2024 race was, and how the AIPAC issue had exploded (Bell was protested by Gaza activists at town halls)
AP calls it for Bell in #MO01 - no Cori Bush comeback. Progressive money never really showed up for her, despite how close their 2024 race was, and how the AIPAC issue had exploded (Bell was protested by Gaza activists at town halls)
AP calls it for Bell in #MO01 - no Cori Bush comeback. Progressive money never really showed up for her, despite how close their 2024 race was, and how the AIPAC issue had exploded (Bell was protested by Gaza activists at town halls)
AP calls it for Bell in #MO01 - no Cori Bush comeback. Progressive money never really showed up for her, despite how close their 2024 race was, and how the AIPAC issue had exploded (Bell was protested by Gaza activists at town halls)
AP calls it for Bell in #MO01 - no Cori Bush comeback. Progressive money never really showed up for her, despite how close their 2024 race was, and how the AIPAC issue had exploded (Bell was protested by Gaza activists at town halls)
Live: Former Representative Cori Bush has lost her attempt to win back her old seat in what appears to be a landslide. The Associated Press has called the race for Representative Wesley Bell, who won more than 70 percent of the vote.
Live: Former Representative Cori Bush has lost her attempt to win back her old seat in what appears to be a landslide. The Associated Press has called the race for Representative Wesley Bell, who won more than 70 percent of the vote.
Live: Former Representative Cori Bush has lost her attempt to win back her old seat in what appears to be a landslide. The Associated Press has called the race for Representative Wesley Bell, who won more than 70 percent of the vote.
Live: Former Representative Cori Bush has lost her attempt to win back her old seat in what appears to be a landslide. The Associated Press has called the race for Representative Wesley Bell, who won more than 70 percent of the vote.
What is this event about?
The MO-01 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MO-01 Democratic Primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Missouri, such as official statewide results published by the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.