Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July? Odds fell to 0% on Aug 12, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July? On , the market’s odds fell from 11.7¢ to 0.1¢ (-11.6 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Walter Bloomberg. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match11.7¢
+5m11.8¢
+30m11.6¢
+1h0.1¢
1h move-11.6 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NoWalter Bloomberg96%match
WALL STREET’S JULY CPI FORECASTS • • Citi: Core 0.16% M/M, 2.4% Y/Y | Headline 0.0% M/M, 3.3% Y/Y • Goldman Sachs: Core 0.19% M/M, 2.47% Y/Y | Headline 0.05% M/M, 3.35% Y/Y • Nomura: Core 0.18% M/M, 2.43% Y/Y | Headline 0.10% M/M, 3.39% Y/Y • BofA: Core 0.20% M/M, 2.5% Y/Y | Headline 0.1% M/M, 3.4% Y/Y • SocGen: Core 0.22% M/M, 2.5% Y/Y | Headline 0.17% M/M, 3.4% Y/Y • Barclays: Core 0.24% M/M, 2.5% Y/Y | Headline 0.16% M/M, 3.4% Y/Y • Morgan Stanley: Core 0.24% M/M, 2.5% Y/Y | Headline 0.10% M/M, 3.4% Y/Y • Wells Fargo: Core 0.24% M/M, 2.5% Y/Y | Headline 0.13% M/M, 3.4% Y/Y • UBS: Core 0.24% M/M, 2.50% Y/Y | Headline 0.11% M/M, 3.39% Y/Y

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$40K

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Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Core CPI MoM - July 2026 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.