Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? Odds jumped to 100% on Aug 12, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? On , the market’s odds jumped from 52.9¢ to 100¢ (+47.1 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Walter Bloomberg. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match52.9¢
+5m53¢
+30m53¢
+1h100¢
1h move+47.1 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

YesWalter Bloomberg96%match
WALL STREET’S JULY CPI FORECASTS • • Citi: Core 0.16% M/M, 2.4% Y/Y | Headline 0.0% M/M, 3.3% Y/Y • Goldman Sachs: Core 0.19% M/M, 2.47% Y/Y | Headline 0.05% M/M, 3.35% Y/Y • Nomura: Core 0.18% M/M, 2.43% Y/Y | Headline 0.10% M/M, 3.39% Y/Y • BofA: Core 0.20% M/M, 2.5% Y/Y | Headline 0.1% M/M, 3.4% Y/Y • SocGen: Core 0.22% M/M, 2.5% Y/Y | Headline 0.17% M/M, 3.4% Y/Y • Barclays: Core 0.24% M/M, 2.5% Y/Y | Headline 0.16% M/M, 3.4% Y/Y • Morgan Stanley: Core 0.24% M/M, 2.5% Y/Y | Headline 0.10% M/M, 3.4% Y/Y • Wells Fargo: Core 0.24% M/M, 2.5% Y/Y | Headline 0.13% M/M, 3.4% Y/Y • UBS: Core 0.24% M/M, 2.50% Y/Y | Headline 0.11% M/M, 3.39% Y/Y

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$57K

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Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Core CPI MoM - July 2026 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.