Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? Odds jumped to 95% on Aug 7, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? On , the market’s odds jumped from 77¢ to 95¢ (+18 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from MS NOW Reporter. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match77¢
+5m77¢
+30m61.5¢
+1h95¢
1h move+18 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 7, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 77¢ → 99¢+22 ptsafter a signal from MeidasTouch Reporter
  • 58¢ → 97¢+39 ptsafter a signal from MeidasTouch Reporter
  • 58¢ → 97¢+39 ptsafter a signal from MeidasTouch Reporter
  • 70.5¢ → 97.5¢+27 ptsafter a signal from CNN Reporter
  • 88¢ → 97.6¢+9.6 ptsafter a signal from NBC Reporter
  • 88¢ → 97.6¢+9.6 ptsafter a signal from NBC Reporter
  • 88¢ → 97.6¢+9.6 ptsafter a signal from Scripps Reporter

What moved the odds?

NeutralMS NOW Reporter99%match
NEWS: Sen. Bill Cassidy (R-La.) will announce how he’s voting on Todd Blanche’s nomination to be attorney general in 10:40am speech on the Senate floor. • • With McConnell absent and Collins and Murkowski a no, it all comes down to Cassidy… • • If Cassidy is a no, Blanche fails.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$3K

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Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Who will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.