Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09? Odds fell to 1% on Aug 18, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09? On , the market’s odds fell from 21.3¢ to 1.2¢ (-20.1 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ). The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match21.3¢
+5m19.7¢
+30m5.4¢
+1h1.2¢
1h move-20.1 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NoDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 56% in): Florida US House 9 Republican Primary • • Dan Green (R): 8,427 (25.4%) • Thomas Chalifoux (R): 7,910 (23.8%) • Jorge Martinez (R): 6,753 (20.3%) • Ben Butler (R): 6,444 (19.4%) • • Follow more results here: •

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$44K

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Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for FL-09 Republican Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.