Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Odds fell to 27% on Aug 24, 2026
Open
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? On , the market’s odds fell from 34.5¢ to 26.5¢ (-8 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from almayadeenlive.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 17% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
$31K
Follow this market
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.