Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee? Odds jumped to 100% on Aug 18, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee? On , the market’s odds jumped from 69¢ to 100¢ (+31 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ). The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match69¢
+5m92¢
+30m98.8¢
+1h100¢
1h move+31 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NeutralDecision Desk (DDHQ)95%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 31% in): Florida US House 2 Republican Primary • • Luke Murphy (R): 5,873 (22.4%) • Austin Rogers (R): 5,541 (21.2%) • Evan Power (R): 4,818 (18.4%) • Keith Gross (R): 4,690 (17.9%) • • Follow more results here: •

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$43K

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Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for FL-02 Republican Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.