Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? Odds fell to 3% on Aug 20, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? On , the market’s odds fell from 15.4¢ to 2.6¢ (-12.8 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Reuters. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match15.4¢
+5m4.1¢
+30m2.2¢
+1h2.6¢
+24h1.3¢
1h move-12.8 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

YesReuters96%match
Anthropic Prepares to File Publicly for Its Potential Mega-IPO as Soon as the End of August- Bloomberg News

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$325K

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Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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