Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? Odds jumped to 28% on Aug 19, 2026
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Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? On , the market’s odds jumped from 19.5¢ to 28¢ (+8.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from almayadeenlive.
How did the odds move?
19.5¢
19.5¢
22.5¢
28¢
17.5¢
+8.5 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
Neutralalmayadeenlive95%match
Iran: Fars News Agency, citing a source close to the Iranian negotiating team, reports that talks held with Oman focused on managing the Strait of Hormuz.
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 4% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES4¢
NO96¢
$595K
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Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.