US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? Odds jumped to 35% on Jul 13, 2026
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US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 25.5¢ to 34.5¢ (+9 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from apnews.com.
How did the odds move?
25.5¢
37.5¢
35.5¢
34.5¢
+9 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
Yesapnews.com99%match
Live: Trump says US will seek Strait of Hormuz tolls as reimbursement for ‘protecting’ other countries
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 5% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES5¢
NO96¢
$104K
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US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for US charges Hormuz fees — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.