US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? Odds jumped to 56% on Aug 6, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: No
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 46.5¢ to 56.5¢ (+10 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from anadoluajansi. The market has since resolved No.
How did the odds move?
46.5¢
46.5¢
54.5¢
56.5¢
61.5¢
+10 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
Noanadoluajansi95%match
US President Trump assessed the Iran agenda at a press conference held in the Oval Office: — I think the war will end soon, I don't think they (Iran) can last much longer. — As far as I've been involved in the negotiations, we're doing well right now. An agreement may be reached soon. — (Has an agreement been reached on opening the Strait of Hormuz?) I can't say yet. It's partially open at the moment. We control the strait with a blockade.
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
$3.3M
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US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
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