Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? Odds jumped to 73% on Sep 22, 2026

OpenMove

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? On , the market’s odds jumped from 29¢ to 72.5¢ (+43.5 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 12-source news cluster, from Reuters.

How did the odds move?

At match29¢
+5m80¢
+30m79¢
+1h72.5¢
1h move+43.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Sep 22, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 29¢ → 72.5¢+43.5 ptsafter a signal from phoenixnewsimportant
  • 47¢ → 76.5¢+29.5 ptsafter a signal from livesquawk
  • 61.5¢ → 76.5¢+15 ptsafter a signal from livesquawk
  • 89¢ → 74¢-15 ptsafter a signal from Questionably accurate pro-Iran channel
  • 92¢ → 76.5¢-15.5 ptsafter a signal from cls.cn
  • 67¢ → 78¢+11 ptsafter a signal from Sky News Arabia
  • 68¢ → 78¢+10 ptsafter a signal from Al Arabiya
  • 81¢ → 89¢+8 ptsafter a signal from Walla Reporter
  • 81.5¢ → 90¢+8.5 ptsafter a signal from Walla Reporter
  • 76.5¢ → 88¢+11.5 ptsafter a signal from J.Post / i24 Reporter
  • 77¢ → 88¢+11 ptsafter a signal from livesquawk
  • 76.5¢ → 88.5¢+12 ptsafter a signal from alarabytv

What moved the odds?

Part of a 12-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

YesReuters98%match
Saudi Arabia Restarts East-West Oil Pipeline - Trade Sources
Yesphoenixnewsimportant98%match
SAUDI ARABIA RESTARTS EAST-WEST OIL PIPELINE - TRADE SOURCES
Yeslivesquawk98%match
Saudi Arabia Restarts East-West Oil Pipeline – RTRS Cites Trade Sources • - Prepares To Resume Crude Oil Exports From Yanbu Port Later On Tuesday
Yescls.cn99%match
Saudi Arabia restarts east-west oil pipeline
YesAl Arabiya98%match
Trade sources told Reuters that Saudi Arabia is restarting the East-West oil pipeline.
YesAl Hadath98%match
Trade sources told Reuters that Saudi Arabia is restarting the East-West oil pipeline.
Yesalarabiya98%match
Trade sources told Reuters that Saudi Arabia is restarting the East-West oil pipeline.
Yesalarabiya98%match
Trade sources told Reuters that Saudi Arabia is restarting the East-West oil pipeline.

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 81% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES81¢
NO19¢

Vol$479K

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Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.