Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? Odds jumped to 65% on Sep 16, 2026

OpenMove

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? On , the market’s odds jumped from 46¢ to 65¢ (+19 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 3-source news cluster, from Reuters.

How did the odds move?

At match46¢
+5m49.5¢
+30m48.5¢
+1h65¢
1h move+19 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Sep 16, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 46¢ → 65¢+19 ptsafter a signal from Reuters
  • 46¢ → 65¢+19 ptsafter a signal from 30b8d60c-a481-4f19-b56e-0f70f0a8073f
  • 46¢ → 65¢+19 ptsafter a signal from f7082d3a-85f3-40d2-9845-14dd0e88e21e
  • 46¢ → 67.5¢+21.5 ptsafter a signal from iranintlbrk
  • 46¢ → 66¢+20 ptsafter a signal from Sky News Arabia
  • 49¢ → 68¢+19 ptsafter a signal from dbws.io
  • 50.5¢ → 65.5¢+15 ptsafter a signal from almayadeenlive
  • 50.5¢ → 66.5¢+16 ptsafter a signal from Reuters Reporter
  • 50¢ → 66.5¢+16.5 ptsafter a signal from Iran Semi-Official Fars
  • 50¢ → 63.5¢+13.5 ptsafter a signal from foxnews.com
  • 48.5¢ → 65.5¢+17 ptsafter a signal from yna.co.kr
  • 49¢ → 64.5¢+15.5 ptsafter a signal from News

What moved the odds?

Part of a 3-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

NoReuters96%match
Two Pumping Stations Along Saudi Arabia’s East-West Oil Pipeline Damaged in Attack Last Week, Sources Say
No30b8d60c-a481-4f19-b56e-0f70f0a8073f95%match
Reuters: • Two Pumping Stations Along Saudi Arabia’s East-West Oil Pipeline Damaged in Attack Last Week, Sources Say
Nodbws.io95%match
Two pumping stations along Saudi East-West Pipeline damaged in recent attack, sources say

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 67% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES67¢
NO34¢

Vol$205K

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Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.