Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? Odds fell to 11% on Sep 21, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: Yes
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? On , the market’s odds fell from 29¢ to 11¢ (-18 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from interfax.com. The market has since resolved Yes.
How did the odds move?
29¢
29¢
28¢
11¢
97.4¢
-18 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
Nointerfax.com95%match
A Just Russia failed to overcome the 5% threshold in the State Duma elections in the federal district after more than 95% of the ballots were processed.
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
$72K
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Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.