Will New People (NL) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow? Odds fell to 1% on Sep 21, 2026

OpenMove

Will New People (NL) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow? On , the market’s odds fell from 10.2¢ to 1.1¢ (-9.1 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from vesti.ru.

How did the odds move?

At match10.2¢
+5m6.9¢
+30m6.3¢
+1h1.1¢
1h move-9.1 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Yesvesti.ru97%match
In the remote voting, New People beat the Communist Party of the Russian Federation and the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia.

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 6% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES6¢
NO94¢

Vol$10K

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Will New People (NL) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.