Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting? Odds jumped to 59% on Sep 2, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting? On , the market’s odds jumped from 42.3¢ to 59¢ (+16.7 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from livesquawk. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match42.3¢
+5m42.3¢
+30m42.7¢
+1h59¢
+24h66.3¢
1h move+16.7 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Neutrallivesquawk94%match
HSBC Now Sees RBA Hiking In September And Q4 For 4.85% Cash Rate

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$82K

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Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.