Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? Odds jumped to 16% on Sep 3, 2026
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Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 8¢ to 16¢ (+8 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from ft.com.
How did the odds move?
8¢
8¢
12.5¢
16¢
+8 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
Yesft.com97%match
[UPDATE] Nigel Farage and Reform UK hit by illicit funding sting (first reported at 2026-09-03T17:14:55Z)
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 16% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES16¢
NO84¢
$251K
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Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.