Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? Odds jumped to 40% on Nov 9, 2026
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Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 26.5¢ to 39.5¢ (+13 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Kan Reporter.
How did the odds move?
26.5¢
28¢
32.5¢
39.5¢
+13 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
YesKan Reporter96%match
A report in the Iranian Mehr news agency, citing Turkish intelligence chief Ebrahim Kalin, said that a meeting is planned in Qatar next week between US Vice President J.D. Vance and Secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council Mohsen Rezaei. Kalin described the meeting as having the opportunity to create a breakthrough in talks between Iran and the US. It is important to note that this report has not been confirmed by other sources. @itamargalit
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 32% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES32¢
NO68¢
$476K
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Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
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