Moscow air traffic suspended by July 17? Odds jumped to 45% on Jul 12, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Moscow air traffic suspended by July 17? On , the market’s odds jumped from 37¢ to 45¢ (+8 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from tass.ru. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match37¢
+5m37¢
+30m37¢
+1h45¢
1h move+8 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 12, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 37¢ → 45¢+8 ptsafter a signal from News
  • 37¢ → 45¢+8 ptsafter a signal from Russian Media

What moved the odds?

Notass.ru99%match
TASS: Domodedovo Airport dispatches and receives flights in coordination with the relevant authorities - Rosaviatsiya

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$5K

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Moscow air traffic suspended by July 17? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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