Moscow air traffic suspendedJuly 17
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$5Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
9 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
NONews99%match79¢-100%
URGENT Restrictions have been lifted at Vnukovo and the airports of Gelendzhik, Kaluga, and Yaroslavl – Rosaviatsiya
NONews99%match79¢-100%
RESTRICTIONS ON THE ACCEPTION AND RELEASE OF AIRCRAFT HAVE BEEN LIFTED AT VNUKOVO, AS WELL AS AT THE AIRPORTS OF GELENDZHIK, KALUGA AND YAROSLAVL - ROSAVIATSIYA
TASS: VNUKOVO AIRPORT ACCEPTS AND DISPATCHES AIRCRAFT IN APPROVAL OF THE RELEVANT AUTHORITIES - ROSAVIATSIYA
NONews99%match62¢-100%
VNUKOVO AIRPORT ACCEPTS AND DEPARTURES FLIGHTS BY APPROVAL. SCHEDULE ADJUSTMENTS ARE POSSIBLE - ROSAVIATSIYA
NONews99%match63¢-100%
RESTRICTIONS ON THE ACCEPTION AND RELEASE OF AIRCRAFT HAVE BEEN LIFTED AT VNUKOVO AIRPORT - ROSAVIATSIYA
The Ministry of Energy, the Ministry of Transport, and other agencies are monitoring the supply of kerosene to Russian airports, said Dmitry Yadrov, head of the Federal Air Transport Agency. The agency is not recording a significant decline in air travel compared to 2025, he added. "As you can see, planes are flying, and the schedule is being met," Mr. Yadrov told journalists at the Innoprom forum. Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
NONews99%match56¢-100%
ROSAVIATSIYA DOES NOT SEE A SIGNIFICANT DECLINE IN AIR TRAFFIC THIS YEAR COMPARED TO 2025 - YADROV
NONews99%match57¢-100%
URGENT Restrictions Lifted at Domodedovo, Kaluga, and Yaroslavl Airports – Rosaviatsiya
NONews99%match58¢-100%
RESTRICTIONS ON THE ACCEPTION AND RELEASE OF AIRCRAFT HAVE BEEN LIFTED AT THE AIRPORTS OF DOMODEDOVO, KALUGA, AND YAROSLAVL – ROSAVIATSIYA
Where does the news lean?
11YES15NO13neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Moscow air traffic suspended — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.