Moscow air traffic suspended by July 17? Odds fell to 26% on Jul 10, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Moscow air traffic suspended by July 17? On , the market’s odds fell from 38¢ to 25.5¢ (-12.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from News. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match38¢
+5m38¢
+30m36¢
+1h25.5¢
+24h20¢
1h move-12.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 10, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 38¢ → 25.5¢-12.5 ptsafter a signal from tass.ru

What moved the odds?

NoNews99%match
VNUKOVO AIRPORT ACCEPTS AND DEPARTURES FLIGHTS BY APPROVAL. SCHEDULE ADJUSTMENTS ARE POSSIBLE - ROSAVIATSIYA

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$5K

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Moscow air traffic suspended by July 17? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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