Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026? Odds jumped to 65% on Aug 26, 2026

OpenMove

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 37.5¢ to 64.5¢ (+27 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from ynet.co.il.

How did the odds move?

At match37.5¢
+5m65.5¢
+30m65.5¢
+1h64.5¢
+24h46.5¢
1h move+27 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Neutralynet.co.il96%match
American source tells Qatari newspaper: "Negotiations between Israel and Lebanon in Rome will resume in September"

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 20% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES20¢
NO81¢

Vol$4K

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Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 9, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.