Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? Odds jumped to 48% on Sep 11, 2026

OpenMoveSep 11, 2026, 08:06 UTC

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? On Sep 11, 2026, 08:06 UTC, the market’s odds jumped from 38.5¢ to 48¢ (+9.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Belarus State News Agency.

How did the odds move?

At match38.5¢

+5m38.5¢

+30m48¢

+1h48¢

1h move+9.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

YesBelarus State News Agency97%match

Israel and Lebanon will hold a new round of talks in Rome on September 15-16.

Sep 11, 2026, 08:06 UTC

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 42% chance that this market resolves YES, as of Sep 11, 2026, 10:40 UTC.

YES42¢

NO58¢

Vol$93K

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Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.