Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? Odds jumped to 63% on Sep 1, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 44¢ to 62.5¢ (+18.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Kan Reporter. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match44¢
+5m44.5¢
+30m39.5¢
+1h62.5¢
+24h54¢
1h move+18.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

YesKan Reporter94%match
The next round of direct talks between Israel and Lebanon is expected to take place in two weeks.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$185K

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Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.