Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026? Odds fell to 73% on Jul 11, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026? On , the market’s odds fell from 86.5¢ to 72.5¢ (-14 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Semi-Official YJC News Agency. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match86.5¢
+5m86.5¢
+30m87¢
+1h72.5¢
+24h86.5¢
1h move-14 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

YesSemi-Official YJC News Agency98%match
The next round of Lebanon-Israel talks will be held on July 15-16. Agence France-Presse: The next round of talks between Lebanon and the Israeli regime will be held on Wednesday and Thursday of this week (July 15-16 / July 24-25) in Rome, the capital of Italy. The United States has asked Italy to host this round of talks. @YjcNewsChannel

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$19K

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Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 15, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.