Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meetingJuly 15
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$19Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
11 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Live: Israel and Lebanon resume peace talks - but will ceasefire last?
Live: Israel hopes for pilot zones in Lebanon after Rome meeting
Israel and Lebanon to hold talks in Rome for two days, according to reports.
Live: Lebanon and Israel resume talks
Report: Sixth round of talks between Israel and Lebanon begins
The next round of Lebanon-Israel talks will be held on July 15-16. Agence France-Presse: The next round of talks between Lebanon and the Israeli regime will be held on Wednesday and Thursday of this week (July 15-16 / July 24-25) in Rome, the capital of Italy. The United States has asked Italy to host this round of talks. @YjcNewsChannel
Agence France-Presse: Next round of Lebanon-Israel talks to be held on July 15-16 Agence France-Presse announced in a report that the next round of talks between Lebanon and the Zionist regime will be held on Wednesday and Thursday of this week (July 15-16 / July 24-25) in Rome, the capital of Italy. @IRNA_1313
Sources close to the event: Lebanon has agreed to attend the round of negotiations with Israel that will be held in Rome on the 15th and 16th of this month.
AFP: The next round of negotiations between Israel and Lebanon will be held in Rome on the 15th and 16th of this month.
MTV News: The July 14-15 meetings between Lebanon and Israel will be held at the US Embassy in Rome. Lebanon will be represented by Ambassadors Simon Karam and Nada Mouawad, and a third person, most likely without a military delegation.
The Lebanon-Israel meeting in Rome on July 14 & 15 remains pending, as Lebanon insists on starting the implementation of the pilot zones before the meeting takes place.
Where does the news lean?
13YES1NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
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