Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8? Odds jumped to 33% on Jul 7, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8? On , the market’s odds jumped from 21.6¢ to 33.3¢ (+11.7 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from israelnews23. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match21.6¢
+5m21.6¢
+30m21.6¢
+1h33.3¢
+24h13¢
1h move+11.7 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 7, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 30¢ → 21.3¢-8.7 ptsafter a signal from Jordanian Media

What moved the odds?

Yesisraelnews2398%match
The Iranian regime has targeted three oil and gas tankers in the past 24 hours. Iran will be subjected to an unprecedented and intense bombardment. Negotiations have failed.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$72K

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Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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