Iran successfully targets shipping on...?July 8
ResolvedOutcome: No$72Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
17 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
U.S. Forces Complete Another Round of Strikes Against Iran • • TAMPA, Fla. — U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) forces completed an additional round of strikes against Iran, July 8, to further degrade Iran's ability to attack commercial shipping and innocent civilian mariners in the Strait of Hormuz. • U.S. forces struck approximately 90 Iranian military targets including air defense systems, coastal surveillance assets, missile and drone storage sites, naval capabilities, and military logistics infrastructure along Iran’s coastline. The latest strikes follow successful execution of offensive strikes in Iran the night before. • CENTCOM forces hit approximately 80 Iranian military targets July 7, including more than 60 Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps small boats, to impose heavy costs for Iran violating the ceasefire by attacking three commercial vessels navigating the Strait of Hormuz. • U.S. forces remain vigilant, lethal, and prepared to execute operations directed by the Commander in Chief.
U.S. Forces Complete Another Round of Strikes Against Iran • • TAMPA, Fla. — U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) forces completed an additional round of strikes against Iran, July 8, to further degrade Iran's ability to attack commercial shipping and innocent civilian mariners in the Strait of Hormuz. • U.S. forces struck approximately 90 Iranian military targets including air defense systems, coastal surveillance assets, missile and drone storage sites, naval capabilities, and military logistics infrastructure along Iran’s coastline. The latest strikes follow successful execution of offensive strikes in Iran the night before. • CENTCOM forces hit approximately 80 Iranian military targets July 7, including more than 60 Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps small boats, to impose heavy costs for Iran violating the ceasefire by attacking three commercial vessels navigating the Strait of Hormuz. • U.S. forces remain vigilant, lethal, and prepared to execute operations directed by the Commander in Chief.
U.S. Forces Complete Another Round of Strikes Against Iran • • TAMPA, Fla. — U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) forces completed an additional round of strikes against Iran, July 8, to further degrade Iran's ability to attack commercial shipping and innocent civilian mariners in the Strait of Hormuz. • U.S. forces struck approximately 90 Iranian military targets including air defense systems, coastal surveillance assets, missile and drone storage sites, naval capabilities, and military logistics infrastructure along Iran’s coastline. The latest strikes follow successful execution of offensive strikes in Iran the night before. • CENTCOM forces hit approximately 80 Iranian military targets July 7, including more than 60 Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps small boats, to impose heavy costs for Iran violating the ceasefire by attacking three commercial vessels navigating the Strait of Hormuz. • U.S. forces remain vigilant, lethal, and prepared to execute operations directed by the Commander in Chief.
Footage circulating online shows the US airstrikes on Iran in response to Iran targeting commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz, according to Trump. #Iran #UnitedStates #HereIsTheKingdom
After attacks on oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, Trump may strike Iran again: Dealing with them is a waste of time.
US State Department to Al Arabiya: * Iran's attacks on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz are a clear violation of the understanding. * Trump does not want a larger confrontation with Iran.
Trump: Iran targeted two ships and we responded with even greater force. Whenever they carry out any attack, we will strike them again.
US attack on southern Iran and violation of ceasefire again The US Central Command (CENTCOM) announced that it had carried out aggressive attacks on several points in southern Iran in response to Iran's alleged attacks on commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz
Iran fired several anti-ship missiles and drones at US Navy warships in the Sea of Oman: Fars
#Breaking | US Central Command: Iran's attacks on commercial vessels were unjustified, dangerous, and a clear violation of the ceasefire.
Jordan condemns Iran's targeting of a Saudi tanker as it passed through the Strait of Hormuz #Breaking #Here_is_the_Kingdom
GCC Secretary General: Targeting the Saudi tanker, the Dayan, is a criminal Iranian act and a dangerous escalation.
GCC Secretary General: Targeting the Saudi tanker, the Dayan, is a criminal Iranian act and a dangerous escalation.
Saudi Arabia condemns Iran's targeting of the Saudi tanker "Widian" and the Qatari tanker "Al-Rukayat".
Saudi Arabia strongly condemns Iran's targeting of the Saudi tanker "Widian" while it was transiting the Strait of Hormuz.
Saudi Arabia condemns Iran's targeting of the Saudi tanker "Widian" and the Qatari tanker "Al-Rukayat".
Saudi Arabia strongly condemns Iran's targeting of the Saudi tanker "Widian" while it was transiting the Strait of Hormuz.
Where does the news lean?
23YES7NO41neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date IRST (UTC +3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Iranian forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Iranian operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST, material ambiguity remains as to the exact timing of the incident, or whether the incident can be attributed to Iran, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, IRST. If, at such time, the attribution or timing of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
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