Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026? Odds jumped to 100% on Sep 22, 2026

OpenMove

Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 85¢ to 100¢ (+15 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 4-source news cluster, from Al Arabiya.

How did the odds move?

At match85¢
+5m85¢
+30m85¢
+1h100¢
1h move+15 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Sep 22, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 85¢ → 100¢+15 ptsafter a signal from News

What moved the odds?

Part of a 4-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

YesAl Arabiya97%match
Trump: We will sign the Greenland agreement today.
YesAl Jazeera97%match
Trump: We will sign the Greenland agreement later today.
YesSky News Arabia97%match
Trump: We will sign an agreement later today regarding Greenland.
YesAsharq97%match
Trump: Today we will sign the agreement between America, Denmark and Greenland

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 100% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$13K

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Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Greenland deal text released — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.