Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026? Odds jumped to 100% on Sep 22, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: Yes
Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 85¢ to 100¢ (+15 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 4-source news cluster, from Al Arabiya. The market has since resolved Yes.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Sep 22, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 85¢ → 100¢+15 ptsafter a signal from News
- 85¢ → 100¢+15 ptsafter a signal from Al Jazeera
- 85¢ → 100¢+15 ptsafter a signal from livesquawk
- 85¢ → 100¢+15 ptsafter a signal from Sky News Arabia
- 85¢ → 100¢+15 ptsafter a signal from Asharq
- 85¢ → 100¢+15 ptsafter a signal from CBS Reporter
- 85¢ → 100¢+15 ptsafter a signal from aa_arabic
- 85¢ → 100¢+15 ptsafter a signal from Jordanian Media
- 85¢ → 100¢+15 ptsafter a signal from alarabiya
- 85¢ → 100¢+15 ptsafter a signal from Asharq Reporter
- 85¢ → 100¢+15 ptsafter a signal from theguardian.com
- 85¢ → 100¢+15 ptsafter a signal from news.sky.com
What moved the odds?
Part of a 4-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
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Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for Greenland deal text released — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.