Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Open$12.8Mas of
Odds now
The market prices a 4% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES4¢
NO96¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
NONews98%match91¢+5%
Political News Briefs | Xi Jinping and other Party and state leaders attend the closing meeting of the Fourth Session of the 14th National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference
NOCGTN America98%match92¢+4%
Xi Jinping, general secretary of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee, asked senior Party officials to ensure a good start to the 15th Five-Year Plan period (2026-2030). Xi made the remarks after reading through the annual work reports of senior Party officials…
Where does the news lean?
0YES4NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.