WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on September 10?$100
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$8Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Oil prices jumped more than 6 percent on Thursday, September 9, as the conflict in the region intensified and concerns about energy supply disruptions increased, with Brent crude reaching $107.63 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate crude also crossed the $100 mark. According to OilPrice data, the price of Murban oil rose more than 5 percent to $122.48, and the OPEC oil basket was priced at $112.25, up more than 4 percent. The increase in prices came after attacks on oil tankers in the Persian Gulf and the Sea of Oman and the Houthis' advance on the Red Sea coast. Reuters reported that the capture of the port of Mocha and the Houthis' advance towards the Hanish Islands have increased concerns about the security of the Bab al-Mandab Strait and the route for Saudi Arabia's oil exports. At the same time, ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped sharply, with initial data showing that only seven ships passed through the waterway on September 8. The price of Brent oil on Wednesday crossed the $100 mark for the first time in six weeks. Disruptions to tanker traffic and insecurity in the Strait of Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab have heightened market concerns about Middle Eastern oil supplies.
NY crude oil closed above $102, rising for the eighth consecutive day on escalating US-Iran fighting, reaching a four-month high.
Oil prices jumped more than 6% Thursday, with both Brent and U.S. crude topping $100 a barrel, as a surge in attacks on shipping since the Iran war began fueled fears of further supply disruptions. • • Brent settled at $107.63, up 6.34%, while WTI rose 6.69% to $102.48 — both their highest since May 19.
NY crude oil closes above $102, rising for the eighth consecutive day and reaching a four-month high.
★ US crude oil closes at over $102, highest in 4 months
Where does the news lean?
5YES1NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures (WTI) on September 10, 2026, is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, or if the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, the market will resolve 50-50.
For the purposes of this market, trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading hours schedule for the underlying market. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date.
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official settlement price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" value for the relevant 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
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