Yoon Suk Yeol Insurrection Case Prison Time?5–10 Years
ResolvedOutcome: No$601Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
17 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
NOThe Associated Press99%match100¢
A South Korean court has ruled that the 2024 imposition of martial law by then-President Yoon Suk Yeol constituted an act of rebellion as it sentenced his prime minister to 23 years in prison for his involvement.
YESReuters99%match2¢-100%
A South Korean court sentenced former President Yoon Suk Yeol to five years in prison on charges that included obstructing attempts by authorities to arrest him following his failed bid to impose martial law in December 2024
YESCGTN Europe99%match2¢-100%
A South Korean court has sentenced former President Yoon Suk Yeol to five years in prison on charges that included obstructing attempts by authorities to arrest him following his failed bid to impose martial law in December 2024. The Seoul Central District Court found Yoon…
YESFirst Squawk99%match2¢-100%
YOON SUK YEOL, SOUTH KOREA’S OUSTED LEADER, GOT FIVE YEARS IN PRISON IN THE FIRST SENTENCE FROM HIS MARTIAL LAW TRIALS.
YESAl Jazeera English99%match2¢-100%
A court in South Korea has sentenced ex-President Yoon Suk Yeol to five years in jail after finding him guilty on charges stemming from his declaration of martial law in December 2024. Al Jazeera’s Jack Barton reports from Seoul.
YESThe New York Times99%match2¢-100%
Breaking News: Yoon Suk Yeol, South Korea’s ousted leader, got five years in prison in the first sentence from his martial law trials.
YESReuters99%match2¢-100%
[Replying to @Reuters] The Seoul Central District Court found Yoon guilty of mobilizing the presidential security service to block authorities from executing an arrest warrant that had been legally issued by a court to investigate him for his martial law declaration > A South Korean court sentenced former president Yoon Suk Yeol to five years in prison for charges including obstructing attempts to arrest him following his failed bid to impose martial law
YESBloomberg99%match19¢-100%
South Korea’s former President Yoon Suk Yeol was sentenced to five years in jail, marking the disgraced ex-leader’s first sentence
YESOSINTdefender99%match19¢-100%
Yoon Suk Yeol, the Impeached President of South Korea, has been sentenced to five years in prison on charges of “abuse of power, obstructing justice and falsifying documents,” related to his failed military coup and declaration of martial law in December 2024.
YESReuters99%match19¢-100%
A South Korean court sentenced former president Yoon Suk Yeol to five years in prison for charges including obstructing attempts to arrest him following his failed bid to impose martial law
YESThe Associated Press99%match0¢
BREAKING: A South Korean court sentences former President Yoon Suk Yeol to five years in prison on some charges related to his imposition of martial law in 2024.
YESFirst Squawk99%match0¢
Ex-South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol gets 5-year prison term for obstruction
YESCGTN Europe99%match0¢
SOUTH KOREAN COURT SENTENCES EX-PRESIDENT YOON SUK YEOL TO 5 YEARS IN PRISON IN OBSTRUCTION CASE.
NOAl Jazeera English98%match99¢+1%
South Korean prosecutors have asked for ousted President Yoon Suk Yeol to face the death penalty over his failed attempt to impose martial law in 2024.
NOWarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧99%match99¢+1%
Prosecutors in South Korea are seeking the death penalty for ex-President Yoon Suk Yeol. Thoughts?
NOThe Associated Press99%match99¢+1%
An independent counsel has demanded a death sentence for ex-South Korean leader Yoon Suk Yeol on rebellion charges in connection with his martial law imposition in 2024, a court confirms.
NOBloomberg99%match99¢+1%
A Seoul court began a final hearing for former President Yoon Suk Yeol over his botched declaration of martial law in 2024, with prosecutors set to seek either the death penalty or a life sentence for the impeached leader
Where does the news lean?
12YES5NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol as part of his ongoing insurrection trial by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Only the sentence rendered in Yoon Suk Yeol’s insurrection case including the charge of leading an insurrection will count. Sentences rendered for separate cases (e.g. Yoon Suk Yeol’s trial on charges of benefiting the enemy related to drone flights over North Korea) will not count. If the insurrection case is formally consolidated with other cases into a single judgment, this market will resolve based on the total sentence issued for this consolidated case.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Yoon Suk Yeol is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If Yoon Suk Yeol is sentenced to life in prison, this market will resolve to the highest bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Yoon Suk Yeol is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the South Korean government and court system; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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