Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?Yemen
Open$5Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 10% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES10¢
NO91¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
The “Mecca Alliance” has activated its collective defense commitments between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, initiating procedures to rapidly provide and deploy military forces and capabilities to the Kingdom. This comes amid escalating “security threats facing Saudi Arabia,” a reference to the advance of the Houthi movement in Yemen. For more details
Turkey and Pakistan Agree to Quickly Send Troops to Saudi Arabia The defense ministers of Turkey, Pakistan, and Saudi Arabia, as members of the "Trilateral Mecca Pact", issued a joint statement announcing the immediate start of implementing joint defense commitments and the rapid dispatch and deployment of troops and military equipment to Saudi Arabia following the escalation of the conflict with Yemen. The statement, while appointing retired General Noman Mahmood from Pakistan as the secretary general of the coalition, emphasized that, according to the collective defense agreement, any attack on the territory of one of the members will be considered an attack on all countries.
#İRNA_جهان @IRNA_1313
The Mecca Defense Alliance meets at the ministerial and chiefs of staff levels... Will Türkiye and Pakistan intervene after the attacks on Saudi Arabia from Yemen?
The Saudi Foreign Ministry announced the holding of an emergency meeting of the Chiefs of Staff of the Joint Chiefs of Staff of Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Pakistan. According to Russia Today, Saudi Foreign Minister Faisal bin Farhan, Pakistani Foreign Minister Mohammad Ishaq Dar and Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan discussed the activation of the Mecca Agreement and the completion of the process of establishing the General Secretariat, its committees and working groups in a meeting at the headquarters of the Saudi Mission to the United Nations. The foreign ministers of the three countries also discussed preparations for the start of the activities of these institutions.<br/ At this meeting, the foreign ministers of Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Turkey strongly condemned Yemen's attacks on Saudi positions.<br/ They also emphasized Saudi Arabia's right to take necessary measures to defend its security based on Article 51 of the United Nations Charter.<br/ The foreign ministers of the three countries also discussed the arrangements for holding an emergency meeting of the Chiefs of Staff of the Joint Chiefs of Staff The armed forces held talks with the aim of exploring ways to support Saudi Arabia, based on the provisions of the Mecca Agreement. dnws.ir/003d3t @Defapress_ir
Where does the news lean?
0YES4NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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