Novgorod Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerYabloko
Open$1Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 2% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES2¢
NO98¢
as of
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Yabloko, Russia's only remaining openly anti-war political party, was just banned. • • • • Also recently, Nadezhdin (from a different party) had to flee to France: • • • • Looks like the last traces of political opposition are being removed leading up to the legislative election next month.
The court found that Yabloko violated copyright laws during its campaigning and received money from individuals financed from abroad. The party conducted its campaigning in violation of intellectual property laws. In addition, funds were deposited into its account from individuals who themselves received funding from foreign states. Arguments that the party's campaign materials contain calls for extremist activity cannot be verified in this case and are subject to consideration in a separate proceeding upon presentation of appropriate evidence. The plaintiff also stated that certain materials in support of Yabloko were distributed through foreign platforms. More IZ RU news in MAX [in reply to: Yabloko appeals the Supreme Court's decision to disqualify the party from the State Duma elections. This was stated by the party chairman, Nikolai Rybakov. "We have five days, and we will do everything possible to ensure that Yabloko remains on the election ballot," said the party chairman, Nikolai Rybakov. Furthermore, the party intends to file a lawsuit for the protection of its business reputation against Rodina and its leader, Alexei Zhuravlev. More IZ RU news in MAX]
A Russian court has disqualified the Yabloko party from the State Duma elections. This decision was made following a lawsuit filed by Rodina, which accused Yabloko of campaign violations, extremism, and copyright infringement. The party's press service stated that they plan to appeal the court's decision and file a counterclaim against Rodina for protection of business reputation. SHOT in MAX:
The Yabloko party was disqualified from the State Duma elections after the Supreme Court upheld Rodina's lawsuit. It was accused of campaign violations, copyright infringement, and calls for the violation of Russia's territorial integrity. Photos and videos not loading? Read us on MAX
Yabloko was disqualified from the State Duma elections. The Supreme Court heard the Rodina party's lawsuit on August 10. A significant portion of Rodina's accusations consisted of alleged violations of intellectual property laws. Yabloko faced harsh criticism and accusations of alleged foreign support from political forces supporting the special operation. Opponents' main complaint is the party's candidates' call for an immediate ceasefire agreement in Ukraine. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
NOReuters94%match99¢-1%
Russia’s Supreme Court Bars Anti-War Yabloko Party From Taking Part in Parliamentary Election
Russia's liberal party Yabloko is threatened with exclusion from the election.
Where does the news lean?
0YES7NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
What would make this resolve YES?
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Novgorod Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Novgorod Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Novgorod Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Novgorod Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Novgorod Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
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