Moscow Oblast Parliament Election: Party WinnerYabloko
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Odds now
The market prices a 1% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES1¢
NO100¢
as of
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12 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Russia's Supreme Court has ruled to exclude the anti-war opposition party Yabloko from proportional representation in the lower house elections.
The court found that Yabloko violated copyright laws during its campaigning and received money from individuals financed from abroad. The party conducted its campaigning in violation of intellectual property laws. In addition, funds were deposited into its account from individuals who themselves received funding from foreign states. Arguments that the party's campaign materials contain calls for extremist activity cannot be verified in this case and are subject to consideration in a separate proceeding upon presentation of appropriate evidence. The plaintiff also stated that certain materials in support of Yabloko were distributed through foreign platforms. More IZ RU news in MAX [in reply to: Yabloko appeals the Supreme Court's decision to disqualify the party from the State Duma elections. This was stated by the party chairman, Nikolai Rybakov. "We have five days, and we will do everything possible to ensure that Yabloko remains on the election ballot," said the party chairman, Nikolai Rybakov. Furthermore, the party intends to file a lawsuit for the protection of its business reputation against Rodina and its leader, Alexei Zhuravlev. More IZ RU news in MAX]
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The Central Election Commission will urgently consider changes to the ballot paper when the decision on Yabloko comes into force.
The Yabloko party was disqualified from the State Duma elections after the Supreme Court upheld Rodina's lawsuit. It was accused of campaign violations, copyright infringement, and calls for the violation of Russia's territorial integrity. Photos and videos not loading? Read us on MAX
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URGENTLY, the Supreme Court of the Russian Federation has removed the Yabloko party list from the State Duma elections.
The Yabloko party has been disqualified from the State Duma elections. The Russian Supreme Court upheld the Rodina party's lawsuit. Here's the highlights: The Rodina party filed a lawsuit to deregister the federal list of candidates on Friday. Yabloko was accused of LGBT propaganda, extremism, inciting social discord, and violating the rules for compiling the electoral list. At the Supreme Court hearing, a Rodina representative listed materials posted on Yabloko's website and social media that violate election campaigning rules and copyright. What the Rodina representative stated: Among the complaints: the use of the phrase "Let there always be sunshine, let there always be mom," stills from the 1967 film "War and Peace," images of Dmitry Medvedev, Victoria Bonya, and other AI-generated materials. The party did not indicate the authors of the works or cite their sources when publishing them. Also, the Yabloko website posted emblems of other parliamentary parties without the consent of the copyright holders. A number of materials in support of Yabloko were distributed by foreign agents, as well as through foreign social networks, with payment not coming from the election fund. 218 Yabloko State Duma candidates received notices of having no foreign assets even before the party congress, thereby violating the law at the nomination and registration stage. Yabloko's campaign expenses significantly exceed established limits for its electoral fund. Yabloko denied the accusations. * — The LGBT movement is recognized as extremist in the Russian Federation and is banned. Video not loading? Watch in MAX
Yabloko was disqualified from the State Duma elections. The Supreme Court heard the Rodina party's lawsuit on August 10. A significant portion of Rodina's accusations consisted of alleged violations of intellectual property laws. Yabloko faced harsh criticism and accusations of alleged foreign support from political forces supporting the special operation. Opponents' main complaint is the party's candidates' call for an immediate ceasefire agreement in Ukraine. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
The Prosecutor General's Office has called for Yabloko to be disqualified from the State Duma elections, an Izvestia correspondent reports from the courtroom. More IZ RU news in MAX [in reply to: The Yabloko party received funding through third parties from foreign countries, including the United States and Germany, an Izvestia correspondent reports from the courtroom. This is stated in documents from Rosfinmonitoring, read out in the Supreme Court of the Russian Federation. The materials were presented during the consideration of the Rodina party's lawsuit to disqualify Yabloko from the State Duma elections. According to the agency, 72 individuals were identified into whose accounts money was deposited from India, Azerbaijan, Georgia, and Germany between April and July 2026. In addition, among the party's contractors, individuals were found who made donations through Armenia, Israel, and the United States. More IZ RU news in MAX]
Interfax: The Russian Prosecutor General's Office bans the anti-war Yabloko party from participating in parliamentary elections.
Russia's liberal party Yabloko is threatened with exclusion from the election.
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Russian Supreme Court to Consider Lawsuit Barring Anti-War Yabloko Party From Parliamentary Elections, TASS Reports
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URGENTLY, the Russian Supreme Court will hear the case on the deregistration of the Yabloko candidate list on August 10.
Where does the news lean?
0YES14NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
What would make this resolve YES?
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Moscow Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Moscow Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Moscow Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Moscow Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Moscow Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
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