When will Xi Jinping visit US?September 24
Open$5Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 87% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES87¢
NO13¢
as of
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Trump: “Xi Jinping to visit U.S. on September 24... Could attack Iran’s Pickaxe Mountain”
Trump: Xi Jinping and Peng Liyuan will visit Washington on September 24 and a state banquet will be held in their honor.
Trump: “Xi Jinping to Visit U.S. on September 24”… State Dinner Announced
Trump: "Xi Jinping and First Lady to Visit U.S. on September 24... State Dinner to Be Held"
Live: #UNITED_STATE Donald Trump announced that he would host Xi Jinping for a state dinner during the Chinese president's visit to the White House on September 24th...
Xi to travel to US with large trade delegation Two sources said that the Chinese president plans to bring a large delegation of Chinese executives and business leaders with him on his upcoming trip to Washington; an unprecedented move that comes amid economic tensions between Beijing and Washington. @ilnair
US AND CHINA TENTATIVELY PLAN MID-SEPTEMBER AI SAFETY TALKS • • The first bilateral talks devoted exclusively to AI since Trump took office again would be led by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on the US side, per two sources cited by Reuters. Trump and Xi Jinping meet September 24 in Washington. • • The US wants to discuss joint monitoring of AI-directed cyberattacks and plans to raise alleged Chinese distillation of proprietary US models. Chinese officials see the talks as a major deliverable of the summit. The agenda and participants remain in flux. • • A Treasury spokesperson said the two sides "may meet in October."
Where does the news lean?
10YES0NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans YES at 75% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
If Xi Jinping visits the United States between market creation and September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Xi Jinping physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Xi Jinping enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or China, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Related markets
See all outcomes for When will Xi Jinping visit US? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.