What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in September 2026?↓ $4,200

ResolvedOutcome: YesVol$34KResolvedas of

Odds now

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .

YESAl Arabiya91%match100¢
Gold fell 2% in spot trading to around $4,200 an ounce
YESChina's business and market92%match100¢
Spot gold fell below $4,200/oz for the first time since Aug. 5, down 2% intraday. • #GOLD $XAUUSD $XAU $GLD • (
YESRussian Media93%match72¢+39%
Gold fell below $4,300 per ounce for the first time since August 7, according to Comex data. Analysts cite the expected Fed interest rate hike as the main reason for the fall in precious metals prices. The rate decision will be made on September 16. Current exchange rates for the dollar, euro, and yuan, as well as quotes for the main indices and stocks on the Moscow Exchange, are on the Kommersant website. Subscribe to Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram

Where does the news lean?

4YES0NO3neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.

How did this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of September 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Related markets

See all outcomes for What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in September 2026? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.