What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?↑ $85
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$1.5Mas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
13 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
¶ Urgent US crude oil futures rise 3% to $85.55 a barrel, their highest level since June 12
US crude futures rose nearly 3% to $85.55 a barrel, their highest level since June 12.
US crude oil futures rose 3% to $85.55 a barrel, their highest level since June 12.
YESReuters93%match91¢+10%
U.S. Crude Futures Rise Nearly 3% to $85.55/bbl, Highest Level Since June 12
Live: Oil prices were higher in the U.S. morning. Brent crude, the international benchmark had risen steadily, up 1.6 percent to over $90 per barrel, close to its peak over the past month. West Texas Intermediate crude oil, the U.S. benchmark, rose to around $85 per barrel.
NY crude oil reaches $85, a one-month high, amid heightened tensions in the Middle East, bringing it back to pre-memorandum levels.
Brent oil price exceeds $90 per barrel, — Reuters Brent oil futures rose by 2.37% to $90.19 per barrel, which was the highest level since June 11. American WTI oil also rose by 2.07% to $84.20 per barrel, reaching its highest since June 12. ING analysts attribute the price increase to the escalation of the conflict in the Persian Gulf. According to them, the US and Iran continue to trade blows, and if tensions do not decrease, the region may again face large-scale attacks, which will threaten oil supplies. Barclays also warns that the market is underestimating the possible risks to global oil reserves, which are currently at their lowest level in the last five years. In addition, according to LSEG, only four ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday, compared to eight the day before, indicating a decrease in activity in one of the key oil transportation routes. Add News.LIVE as a reliable news source on Google
Amid the escalation of the war in the Persian Gulf between the United States and the Islamic Republic, the specialized website "Oil Price" reported that the price of Brent crude oil has crossed $90 per barrel and reached $90.45. According to data from this website, at the same time as Brent crude oil increased by 2.67%, the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil also increased by 2.49% to $84.54 per barrel. This increase occurred at a time when escalating military tensions and market concerns about possible disruptions in oil supply and shipping in the Strait of Hormuz have put oil prices under upward pressure.
Brent crude futures rose 3.1 percent to $90.85 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude rose 3.1 percent to $85.05 a barrel.
NY crude oil prices hit a one-month high, briefly exceeding $85, a return to pre-war levels before the memorandum of understanding ending US-Iran combat came into effect.
NY crude oil market rises to over $85 per barrel, highest level in a month.
US crude futures rose more than 3% to $81.64 a barrel, their highest level since June 15.
Oil prices fell at settlement, with Brent crude recording $71.57 a barrel.
Where does the news lean?
12YES3NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 94%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of July 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month).
Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day).
For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
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