When will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei?December 31
Open$122Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 2% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES2¢
NO98¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
White House: Talks with Iran canceled until further notice Semaphore reporter Shelby Talcott tweeted: A White House official said Trump's new post on Truth Social means talks with Iran are canceled until further notice. Trump says there are "no ongoing or planned talks or negotiations" with Iran.
CBS News reported, citing American officials, that contrary to Donald Trump's statements on Sunday night, no new or different round of talks with the Islamic Republic is planned. At the same time, the spokesman for the Islamic Republic's Foreign Ministry also said that Tehran has no plans to negotiate directly with Washington. Reported by Erdoğan Roozbeh, Iran International correspondent
Trump: I'm 90% sure that Mojtaba Khamenei was killed
Trump: I'm 90% sure that Mojtaba Khamenei was killed
Where does the news lean?
0YES5NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei talks with Donald Trump by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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