How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?>100k
Open$26Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 6% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES6¢
NO94¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Even Melania's lawyer advises against buying Trump's "golden visa" Trump's proposed "golden visa" program for millionaires has failed. Only 338 wealthy people considered (but did not pay) for the program. Lawyers criticize Trump's "gold card" for legal uncertainty. First, it does not guarantee a "fast track" review process. Second, Congress has not approved the program. Third, there are still ongoing lawsuits that could halt the program. Even Melania Trump's former lawyer is discouraging clients from this idea. Michael Wilds says bluntly that the US leader's program is legally questionable. "It would be unethical of me to recommend it (the program, - ed.) to clients," Wilds said.
When President Donald Trump launched the “Gold Card” visa program, the official website promised U.S. residency in “record time.” A new court filing, however, suggests that applicants who pay $1 million for a Gold Card won’t get faster visas. • • The program was touted as a new kind of investment visa that would raise revenue and attract tens of thousands of overseas millionaires and billionaires to the U.S. But DHS revealed last week that only 338 people have so far submitted requests for a Gold Card. • • Full details:
Trump's $1 million 'Gold Card' fails to catch on among the world's wealthy
Trump’s $1mn gold card visa fails to excite the world’s wealthy
Trump’s $1 million ‘gold card’ visa has not been as popular as advertised
Where does the news lean?
1YES6NO1neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
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