What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?Steel
Open$2Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 78% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES78¢
NO22¢
as of
What moved the odds?
3 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
.@POTUS IN OHIO: Kimberly-Clark is investing $800M to build its first new U.S. plant in 37 years in Warren. • • Vallourec is investing $48M to expand operations right here in Youngstown. • • And two months ago, my Administration announced a $500M investment to modernize the Cleveland Cliffs “Middletown Works” Steel Mill.
.@POTUS IN OHIO: Under Republican leadership... • • — Incomes for hardworking Americans have soared to the highest level ever recorded. • • — More Americans are working today than at any time in the history of our country. • • — The poverty rate has just reached its lowest level in American history, with African American poverty, Hispanic American poverty, and Native American poverty rates all at their lowest levels on record. • • — The stock market has soared to 81+ all-time record highs since the election. • • — After years of steel mills and factories closing across Ohio, our steel industry is roaring back to life, manufacturing is booming, and American exports have soared to the highest level in history.
.@POTUS IN OHIO: Under Republican leadership... • • — Incomes for hardworking Americans have soared to the highest level ever recorded. • • — More Americans are working today than at any time in the history of our country. • • — The poverty rate has just reached its lowest level in American history, with African American poverty, Hispanic American poverty, and Native American poverty rates all at their lowest levels on record. • • — The stock market has soared to 81+ all-time record highs since the election. • • — After years of steel mills and factories closing across Ohio, our steel industry is roaring back to life, manufacturing is booming, and American exports have soared to the highest level in history.
Where does the news lean?
3YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans YES at 80% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 92%.
What would make this resolve YES?
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Youngstown, Ohio on October 12, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-youngstown-ohio-president-donald-j-trump)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Ohio on October 12, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
The resolution source will be audio/video of the event.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
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