What will Trump say during bilateral meeting with Turkish President?Israel
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$193as of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Trump: Israel and Turkey did not end up in conflict thanks to me.
FWD from SNN International: Trump's flattering statements: Turkey has always been a great ally for us / They didn't go to war with Israel because of me! US terrorist president: They know Iran very well. And I've heard some people talk about their relationship with Israel. They could have come into this conflict from the other side. They are a very powerful military country, but they didn't. Maybe they didn't do it because of me. They are a country that has done very, very well. Get the latest news:
Site | ETA | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snninternational
Live: Trump says Turkey 'could have gotten into the fight ' against Israel during Iran war
NEW: President Trump praises Turkey as a "great ally," suggesting his influence stopped the nation from entering a wider Middle East conflict with Israel. • • "They could have gotten into the fight, they're a very powerful military nation. They didn't do that.” • • "Maybe they didn't do that because of me. But they could have gotten into the fight on the other side.”
Trump: Israel and Turkey did not get into conflict because of me
Trump: We are thinking about selling F-35s to Turkey Our relationship with Turkey has improved and Turkey has been much more loyal in many ways than other countries that we thought would remain loyal to us.
@Farsna [in reply to: Netanyahu's request to Trump: Turkey should not obtain F-35s In an interview with Fox News, Netanyahu called Turkey "a regime infected with the Muslim Brotherhood" and said that in my opinion, they should not be given F-35s or engines for their fighters. Last month, Trump had implicitly announced his agreement to sell F-110 fighter engines to Turkey and return the country to the F-35 fighter program. Netanyahu claimed that such a move would upset the balance of power in the Middle East; A balance that, he claims, is guaranteed by Israel's air superiority as well as America's position in the Middle East. @Farsna - Link]
Where does the news lean?
5YES1NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
Donald Trump is scheduled to meet with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan on July 7, 2026 at 8:15 AM ET (https://x.com/WHPressPool/status/2073953815431168228?s=20).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the meeting featuring the Turkish President on July 7, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about the event titled "The President participates in a Bilateral Meeting with the President of the Republic of Turkey [3:15 PM Local]" scheduled for 8:15 AM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
If this visit is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other markets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
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