When will Trump rename an ocean?December 31, 2026
Open$32Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 5% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES5¢
NO95¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Trump: “Turning the Atlantic and Pacific into the Trump Ocean and the America Ocean”
Trump intends to rename the Atlantic or Pacific Ocean to the "Trump Ocean" or "Ocean of the Americas" before he leaves office. "We need to do this before I leave. I believe we should have an ocean, and we need a great river. But I'm not going to change the name of the Mississippi. I love the Mississippi." Speaking to supporters in Tennessee, the American leader also again allowed for the renaming of the Strait of Hormuz to the Trump Strait. Previously, Trump signed executive orders renaming the Gulf of Mexico to the Gulf of America and Lake Ontario to Lake America. These changes affect the use of names by federal agencies and on official US maps.
Trump: I want to change the name of the Atlantic or Pacific Ocean to "Trump Ocean" before I leave the White House.
Trump: I want to change the name of the Atlantic or Pacific Ocean to “Trump Ocean” before I leave the White House.
Where does the news lean?
37YES0NO12neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans NO at 55% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order to, or signs any bill into law to, or otherwise takes action to officially rename any ocean by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market, the oceans are defined as: the Atlantic Ocean, the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, the Arctic Ocean, and the Southern/Antarctic Ocean.
Officially renaming any one of these five oceans is sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of the new name chosen. Renaming a subdivision of one of these oceans, such as the North Atlantic Ocean or the South Pacific Ocean, will also qualify.
If the U.S. Board on Geographic Names (BGN) renames any of the five oceans accordingly this will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Renaming any other body of water, including any sea, gulf, bay, strait, channel, or lake, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration or the U.S. Board on Geographic Names, however a consensus of credible reporting stating that the US Government has renamed one of the five oceans will suffice.
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