Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
ResolvedOutcome: No$943Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
US Senate Unanimously Opposes Sam Bankman-Fried Pardon
U.S. Senate Unanimously Opposes Clemency for FTX Founder Sam Bankman-Fried • • The U.S. Senate unanimously approved a nonbinding resolution stating that FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried should not receive a presidential pardon, sentence commutation or any other form of federal clemency “under any circumstances.” The measure passed by unanimous consent without objection. Bankman-Fried founded FTX, once one of the world’s largest crypto exchanges before its 2022 collapse, and is serving a 25-year sentence after being convicted on seven fraud and conspiracy charges. • • The resolution follows his efforts to seek clemency and comes after President Donald Trump pardoned Binance founder Changpeng Zhao and Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht.
The Senate UC’d a resolution today saying Sam Bankman-Fried shouldn’t receive a presidential pardon or commutation
The Senate, unanimously, to President Trump: don’t pardon Sam Bankman-Fried
Where does the news lean?
0YES6NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.