Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

OpenVol$77KDeadlineas of

Odds now

The market prices a 10% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES10¢
NO91¢

24has of

What moved the odds?

19 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .

NOnypost.com97%match87¢+3%
Trump says it’s ‘way too early’ to endorse JD Vance amid reports he privately backs VP for 2028
NOCNN Reporter96%match87¢+3%
Trump declines to endorse Vance for 2028, says it's "way too early” pushing back on reports that he has urged donors to rally behind his vice president. • • "I heard about it a little while ago. I think he's great," Trump said in the Oval. "But we're way too early to even be thinking about that."
YESalarabiya97%match13¢-23%
A private meeting in the Oval Office... Washington Post: Donald Trump tells a group of major donors that he wants to see his vice president, J.D. Vance, as president in the 2028 election.
YESalhadath97%match13¢-23%
A private meeting in the Oval Office... The Washington Post reports that Donald Trump told a group of major donors he wants to see his vice president, J.D. Vance, as president in the 2028 election.
NOnytimes.com98%match87¢+3%
Live: President Trump again said that it was “way too early” to consider whether Vice President JD Vance would be his successor for the 2028 presidential election. Trump, who has continued to joke in recent weeks about running for a third term — something he is constitutionally barred from doing — has often said he is not sure if Vance should be his successor, and has polled people on whether they prefer Vance or Secretary of State Marco Rubio.
NOFox Reporter96%match87¢+3%
.@reaganreese_ asked President Trump about a report claiming he told donors to support VP Vance in 2028. • • Q: "Is that your official endorsement?" • • Trump: "No... I think he's great, but we're way to early to even be thinking about that."
NOWSJ Reporter93%match87¢+3%
Trump, asked now about Vance 2028, says it's "way too early" to be talking about a successor.
YESalarabiya95%match11¢-9%
Trump tells donors in private meeting: We want to elect Vance president in 2028
YESalhadath95%match11¢-9%
Trump tells donors in private meeting: We want to elect Vance president in 2028
YESyna.co.kr92%match11¢-9%
"Trump says 'Make sure Vance gets elected'"... White House abuzz with speculation over 'pre-selection'
YESChannel 12 (N12)97%match11¢-9%
Tomer Almagor Report in the Washington Post: President Donald Trump told donors in a private meeting in the Oval Office about two weeks ago that he wants to see his vice president, J.D. Vance, win the 2028 presidential election: "Ultimately, we have to elect J.D." Photo: Reuters
YESIran Semi-Official SNN98%match11¢-9%
JD Vance, Trump's choice for the next term of the US presidency Elect JD (Vance); this has been Donald Trump's secret advice to the Republican Party's financial backers for the upcoming US presidential election. The Washington Post wrote that the US President told Republican financial backers in a private meeting about 2 weeks ago that we should ultimately elect JD. Get the latest news: Site | ETA | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
YESIran's judiciary-run Mizan98%match11¢-9%
Jay Vance, Trump's choice for the next term of the US presidency Choose JD (Vance); this has been Donald Trump's secret advice to Republican donors for the upcoming US presidential election. The Washington Post wrote that the US President told Republican donors in a private meeting about 2 weeks ago, "We have to choose JD in the end." Mizan on social networks @mizanplus‏
YESentekhab_news93%match14¢-29%
The Washington Post, citing informed sources: Trump has privately told donors to support Vance over Rubio in the 2028 presidential election Advisers warn that Trump's decision is not final; he is just enjoying the drama of the race Trump has decided that Vance will be the heir to the Republican Party Poor Republican performance could encourage rivals to compete against Trump's choice Rubio is avoiding any discussion about 2028 / election
YESWaPo Reporter93%match14¢-29%
New: “At the end of the day, we need to elect JD,” Trump said during an Oval Office meeting with donors two weeks ago. • • The latest on Trump’s attitude about 2028:
YESRussian Media98%match18¢-44%
Donald Trump wants J.D. Vance to be his successor in the 2028 election, The Washington Post reports, citing sources. "Ultimately, we need to elect J.D.," the US president said during a meeting with donors in the Oval Office about two weeks ago. The publication writes that these words contrast with Trump's rhetoric over the past year, when he publicly egged on Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio to compete for his favor. At the same time, he repeatedly refused to say whom he would prefer to see in power. The source says that it is "too early" to determine when Vance will announce his candidacy or when Trump will publicly endorse him. At the same time, the president's advisers say that the American leader's opinion could still change. More IZ RU news in MAX
YESiranintlbrk98%match23¢-57%
The Washington Post reported that US President Donald Trump said in a private meeting with his donors: "Ultimately, we have to elect JD." The comment is a sign that he may support JD Vance in the 2028 presidential election.
YESAsharq94%match18¢-44%
The Washington Post: Trump tells donors in a private meeting that he wants his running mate, Vance, to win the 2028 US presidential election.
YESNews95%match10¢
*TRUMP TELLS DONORS ‘WE NEED TO ELECT' JD VANCE IN 2028: WAPO

Where does the news lean?

26YES8NO11neutraltrailing 24h

Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.

Past moves on this market

Material odds moves (8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.

What would make this resolve YES?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

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