Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?
Open$12Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 4% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES4¢
NO96¢
as of
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
DEMISE OF THE DOGE: Education Department plans to hire hundreds, via @Becca_Carballo
YESRapid Response 4799%match14¢-71%
.@EDSecMcMahon on the Trump Administration's plan to return education to the states: "@POTUS wants to take the bureaucracy out of education... the funds are going to continue to flow... just as they did before there was a Department of Education."
Where does the news lean?
5YES3NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.